SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | De Graafschap |
26.05% ( -0.17) | 22.99% ( 0.06) | 50.96% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 59.47% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.91% ( -0.44) | 41.09% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.52% ( -0.45) | 63.48% ( 0.45) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.01% ( -0.36) | 28.98% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.12% ( -0.45) | 64.88% ( 0.45) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.74% ( -0.12) | 16.25% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.22% ( -0.22) | 45.78% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.61% 3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 26.05% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 5.83% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.71% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.45% Total : 50.96% |
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