SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | NAC Breda |
46.07% ( 0.15) | 22.84% ( 0.02) | 31.09% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 63.94% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.13% ( -0.16) | 36.87% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.95% ( -0.18) | 59.05% ( 0.18) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( -0.01) | 16.45% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.85% ( -0.01) | 46.15% ( 0.02) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.53% ( -0.17) | 23.46% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.52% ( -0.25) | 57.48% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.49% Total : 46.07% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.84% | 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 31.09% |
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