Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
