SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 63.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-3 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 2-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | Emmen |
17.42% ( 0.92) | 18.73% ( 0.58) | 63.85% ( -1.49) |
| Both teams to score 61.93% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.9% ( -1.09) | 32.1% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.32% ( -1.29) | 53.68% ( 1.3) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.5% ( 0.31) | 31.5% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.12% ( 0.36) | 67.89% ( -0.35) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.41% ( -0.64) | 9.59% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.92% ( -1.53) | 32.08% ( 1.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | Emmen |
| 2-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.24% Total : 17.42% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 18.73% | 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 7.49% ( -0.15)0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 6.49% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 4.39% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 3.8% ( -0.22)2-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.11)1-5 @ 2.06% ( -0.17)0-5 @ 1.78% ( -0.16)2-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.09)3-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.83% Total : 63.85% |
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