SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | Emmen |
44.27% ( 2.24) | 25.51% ( 0.47) | 30.22% ( -2.7) |
| Both teams to score 54.12% ( -2.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.46% ( -3.04) | 49.54% ( 3.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.43% ( -2.79) | 71.57% ( 2.79) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.67% ( -0.24) | 22.33% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.19% ( -0.36) | 55.81% ( 0.36) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( -3.29) | 30.31% ( 3.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.5% ( -4.11) | 66.49% ( 4.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | Emmen |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 1.13) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.8)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.38)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.24% Total : 44.26% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.8)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.41)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.49)0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.49)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.39)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.31)Other @ 3.14% Total : 30.22% |
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