SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | NAC Breda |
32.22% ( 0.02) | 24.59% ( 0.01) | 43.19% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.15% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.3% ( -0.03) | 44.7% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.93% ( -0.03) | 67.07% ( 0.03) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.41% ( -0) | 26.59% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.18% ( -0.01) | 61.81% ( 0.01) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.21% ( -0.02) | 20.79% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.56% ( -0.04) | 53.44% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.85% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.22% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.68% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.82% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.19% |
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