SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
45.37% ( -0.58) | 24.67% ( -0.15) | 29.95% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 56.75% ( 0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.96% ( 1.01) | 46.03% ( -1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.66% ( 0.95) | 68.34% ( -0.95) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( 0.16) | 20.37% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.22% ( 0.26) | 52.78% ( -0.26) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( 1.01) | 28.73% ( -1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.44% ( 1.25) | 64.55% ( -1.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 1-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.81% Total : 45.37% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.95% |
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