Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 75.68%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 9.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (2.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
