SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
46.11% ( -0.12) | 23.24% ( 0.04) | 30.65% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 62.2% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.95% ( -0.17) | 39.04% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.63% ( -0.18) | 61.36% ( 0.17) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.71% ( -0.11) | 17.28% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.37% ( -0.19) | 47.62% ( 0.19) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.2% ( -0.04) | 24.8% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.62% ( -0.05) | 59.37% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.06% Total : 46.11% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 30.65% |
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