SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
49.36% ( 0.09) | 23.39% ( -0.03) | 27.24% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.19% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.04% ( 0.07) | 41.96% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.63% ( 0.07) | 64.37% ( -0.07) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.84% ( 0.06) | 17.16% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.59% ( 0.11) | 47.41% ( -0.11) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.45% ( -0.01) | 28.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.66% ( -0.02) | 64.34% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 4% Total : 49.36% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.53% Total : 27.25% |
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