SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
32.17% ( 0.05) | 24.47% ( 0.01) | 43.36% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.57% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.86% ( -0.01) | 44.14% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.48% ( -0.01) | 66.52% ( 0.01) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.65% ( 0.02) | 26.34% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.51% ( 0.03) | 61.49% ( -0.03) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.52% ( -0.03) | 20.48% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.05% ( -0.04) | 52.95% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 32.17% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.56% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 43.36% |
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