SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
50.36% ( 0.03) | 23.56% ( 0.01) | 26.09% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.57% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.38% ( -0.07) | 43.62% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.99% ( -0.07) | 66.01% ( 0.08) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.59% ( -0.01) | 17.41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.15% ( -0.03) | 47.85% ( 0.04) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.71% ( -0.06) | 30.29% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.53% ( -0.08) | 66.47% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 3.84% Total : 50.36% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 26.09% |
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