Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 59.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Jong Ajax in this match.
Result | ||
Jong Ajax | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
59.93% ( -2.55) | 20.78% ( 1.3) | 19.29% ( 1.25) |
Both teams to score 57.96% ( -2.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.12% ( -4.17) | 38.87% ( 4.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.81% ( -4.53) | 61.19% ( 4.53) |
Jong Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.37% ( -1.96) | 12.63% ( 1.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.23% ( -4.2) | 38.76% ( 4.2) |
Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.34% ( -1.2) | 33.66% ( 1.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.69% ( -1.33) | 70.31% ( 1.33) |
Score Analysis |
Jong Ajax | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.43) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 1.04) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.44) 3-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.37) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.53) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.37) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.36) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.36) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.28) Other @ 3.78% Total : 59.93% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.85) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.79) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.78% | 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.31) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.73) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.33) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.16% Total : 19.29% |
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