Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 63.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 16.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
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