Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 51.06%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.03) 
