Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 53.68%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 23.33% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
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