Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 50.59%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
Result | ||
Helmond Sport | Draw | Willem II |
25.04% ( 0.05) | 24.37% ( -0) | 50.59% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.87% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.96% ( 0.06) | 48.04% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.79% ( 0.05) | 70.21% ( -0.05) |
Helmond Sport Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.51% ( 0.07) | 33.49% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.87% ( 0.08) | 70.13% ( -0.08) |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81% ( 0) | 19% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.44% ( 0.01) | 50.56% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Helmond Sport | Draw | Willem II |
1-0 @ 6.96% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 25.04% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.31% 0-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 50.58% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: