Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
-1.1) 
1.27) 
