Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 79.32%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 7.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a Telstar win it was 1-2 (2.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for PEC Zwolle in this match.
-0.06) 
0.03) 
