Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 88.66%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 3.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 4-0 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.8%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 0-1 (1.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.02) 
