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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 88.66%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 3.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 4-0 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.8%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 0-1 (1.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Dordrecht |
88.66% ( 0.03) | 8.03% ( -0.02) | 3.3% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 41.79% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.87% ( 0.12) | 25.12% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.92% ( 0.15) | 45.08% ( -0.16) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.47% ( 0.02) | 3.53% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 84.67% ( 0.07) | 15.33% ( -0.08) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.32% ( 0.08) | 56.67% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 11.14% ( 0.04) | 88.85% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Dordrecht |
| 3-0 @ 12.46% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 10.42% 3-1 @ 7.08% ( 0)5-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)7-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.81% Total : 88.65% | 1-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 1.8% ( 0)Other @ 0.43% Total : 8.03% | 0-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 1.09% Total : 3.3% |
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