Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 50.12%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
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