Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
