SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 65.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 13.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Helmond Sport |
65.97% ( -1.26) | 20.52% ( 0.51) | 13.51% ( 0.74) |
| Both teams to score 45.96% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.65% ( -0.51) | 48.35% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.51% ( -0.47) | 70.49% ( 0.47) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.18% ( -0.53) | 13.81% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.84% ( -1.07) | 41.16% ( 1.06) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.33% ( 0.86) | 46.67% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.76% ( 0.64) | 82.24% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 1-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.63% ( -0.23)2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 65.97% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.68% Total : 20.52% | 0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.15% Total : 13.51% |
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