Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 70.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 11.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.33%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 1-0 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.07) 
