SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 71.71%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 11.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 3-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Willem II in this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
71.71% ( 0.41) | 16.38% ( -0.18) | 11.91% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 55.7% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.84% ( 0.26) | 33.15% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.1% ( 0.3) | 54.9% ( -0.29) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.88% ( 0.15) | 8.12% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.49% ( 0.38) | 28.51% ( -0.37) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.63% ( -0.19) | 39.37% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.93% ( -0.18) | 76.07% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.28% Total : 71.7% | 1-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 16.38% | 1-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.61% Total : 11.91% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
