Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
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