SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Jong AZ |
40.41% ( -0.02) | 24.98% ( -0.01) | 34.6% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.51% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.15% ( 0.03) | 45.84% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.84% ( 0.03) | 68.16% ( -0.03) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.41% ( -0) | 22.58% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.81% ( 0) | 56.19% ( -0.01) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( 0.03) | 25.7% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.38% ( 0.04) | 60.62% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.41% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.98% | 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.36% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.6% |
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