SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 57.53%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 21.85% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.73%) and 0-1 (7.26%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | De Graafschap |
21.85% ( -0.41) | 20.62% ( -0.06) | 57.53% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 62.84% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.6% ( -0.24) | 34.39% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.69% ( -0.27) | 56.31% ( 0.26) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.32% ( -0.48) | 28.67% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.51% ( -0.6) | 64.49% ( 0.6) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.1% ( 0.05) | 11.89% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.78% ( 0.12) | 37.22% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 4.26% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.28% Total : 21.85% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.13)0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 6.85% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 5.49% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 3.65% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.92% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)2-5 @ 0.97% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 57.53% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
