SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Jong PSV |
45.32% ( 0.2) | 22.93% ( -0.25) | 31.75% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 63.95% ( 0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.99% ( 1.25) | 37.01% ( -1.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.81% ( 1.34) | 59.19% ( -1.33) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( 0.57) | 16.79% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.25% ( 1) | 46.75% ( -0.99) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( 0.64) | 23.15% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.98% ( 0.93) | 57.02% ( -0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.34% Total : 45.32% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.24)3-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.09% Total : 31.75% |
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