SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 53.31%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.96%) and 1-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
53.31% ( 0.3) | 21.36% ( -0.29) | 25.33% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 64.65% ( 1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.05% ( 1.44) | 33.95% ( -1.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.19% ( 1.61) | 55.81% ( -1.61) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.03% ( 0.58) | 12.97% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.55% ( 1.18) | 39.45% ( -1.18) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( 0.77) | 25.71% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.36% ( 1.03) | 60.63% ( -1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.21)1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.08)4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.36% Total : 53.31% | 1-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 25.33% |
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