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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 32
Apr 7, 2023 at 7pm UK
Rabobank IJmond Stadion

Telstar
2 - 3
Jong Ajax

Plet (72', 90+5')
Apau (39'), Soares (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martha (28'), Fitz-Jim (57'), Misehouy (77')
Fitz-Jim (45+2'), Martha (55'), de Graaff (87')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Telstar and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 3-1 Telstar
Friday, March 31 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 4-1 Dordrecht
Monday, April 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
TelstarDrawJong Ajax
50.62% (0.393 0.39) 22.45% (-0.146 -0.15) 26.92% (-0.246 -0.25)
Both teams to score 62.26% (0.295 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.22% (0.489 0.49)37.78% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.97% (0.521 0.52)60.03% (-0.521 -0.52)
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.83% (0.31099999999999 0.31)15.17% (-0.312 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.22% (0.584 0.58)43.77% (-0.585 -0.59)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39% (0.079999999999998 0.08)26.61% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.16% (0.107 0.11)61.83% (-0.107 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Telstar 50.62%
    Jong Ajax 26.92%
    Draw 22.44%
TelstarDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.51% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.96% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.13% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.87% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 50.62%
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.29% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.04% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.44%
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5.34% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 26.92%

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Form Guide
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 3-1 Telstar
Friday, March 31 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Telstar 1-0 Oss
Sunday, March 26 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 2-2 Telstar
Friday, March 17 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Roda JC 1-2 Telstar
Friday, March 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Telstar 0-1 FC Eindhoven
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Heracles 7-0 Telstar
Friday, February 24 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 4-1 Dordrecht
Monday, April 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 0-2 Almere City
Friday, March 17 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 2-6 Jong Ajax
Monday, March 13 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 5-1 Jong Ajax
Friday, March 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-2 Oss
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Willem II 2-1 Jong Ajax
Friday, February 24 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie


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