SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | Jong Ajax |
50.62% ( 0.39) | 22.45% ( -0.15) | 26.92% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 62.26% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.22% ( 0.49) | 37.78% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.97% ( 0.52) | 60.03% ( -0.52) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.83% ( 0.31) | 15.17% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.22% ( 0.58) | 43.77% ( -0.59) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.39% ( 0.08) | 26.61% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.16% ( 0.11) | 61.83% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.02% Total : 50.62% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 26.92% |
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