SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.48%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | Jong AZ |
36.6% ( -0.1) | 24.17% ( 0.04) | 39.23% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 60.79% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.27% ( -0.22) | 41.72% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.87% ( -0.22) | 64.12% ( 0.22) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.31% ( -0.16) | 22.69% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.66% ( -0.23) | 56.34% ( 0.23) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.63% ( -0.07) | 21.37% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.65% ( -0.11) | 54.34% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.33% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 36.6% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 39.23% |
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