SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 20.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Almere City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | Jong AZ |
58.45% ( -0.38) | 21.07% ( 0.07) | 20.48% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 59.03% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.58% ( 0.1) | 38.42% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.29% ( 0.1) | 60.71% ( -0.11) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.08% ( -0.08) | 12.92% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.65% ( -0.16) | 39.35% ( 0.16) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.78% ( 0.35) | 32.22% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.29% ( 0.39) | 68.71% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.09)1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.75% Total : 58.45% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.07% | 1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 20.48% |
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