Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
Result | ||
NAC Breda | Draw | Jong Ajax |
61.11% ( 0.94) | 19.69% ( -0.28) | 19.2% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 61.86% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.26% ( 0.31) | 33.74% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.43% ( 0.35) | 55.57% ( -0.35) |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.26% ( 0.34) | 10.74% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.3% ( 0.74) | 34.7% ( -0.74) |
Jong Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.3% ( -0.44) | 30.7% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.05% ( -0.52) | 66.95% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
NAC Breda | Draw | Jong Ajax |
2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 4.26% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 61.11% | 1-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 19.69% | 1-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.7% Total : 19.2% |
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