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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 30
Mar 13, 2023 at 7pm UK
 

NAC Breda
2 - 6
Jong Ajax

FT(HT: 0-4)
Warmerdam (4'), Van Axel Dongen (17'), Baas (21'), Lucca (34'), Conceicao (51'), Regeer (86')
Fitz-Jim (24'), Lucca (45'), Conceicao (71')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NAC Breda and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NAC Breda 4-1 MVV
Friday, March 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 5-1 Jong Ajax
Friday, March 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
NAC BredaDrawJong Ajax
61.11% (0.935 0.94) 19.69% (-0.277 -0.28) 19.2% (-0.653 -0.65)
Both teams to score 61.86% (-0.159 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.26% (0.315 0.31)33.74% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.43% (0.354 0.35)55.57% (-0.352 -0.35)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.26% (0.33800000000001 0.34)10.74% (-0.335 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.3% (0.744 0.74)34.7% (-0.739 -0.74)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3% (-0.441 -0.44)30.7% (0.444 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.05% (-0.524 -0.52)66.95% (0.52699999999999 0.53)
Score Analysis
    NAC Breda 61.11%
    Jong Ajax 19.2%
    Draw 19.69%
NAC BredaDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.21% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.36% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.21% (0.095 0.09)
3-0 @ 6.1% (0.153 0.15)
3-2 @ 4.26% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-1 @ 4.02% (0.107 0.11)
4-0 @ 3.41% (0.131 0.13)
4-2 @ 2.37% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.072 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.52% (0.079 0.08)
5-2 @ 1.06% (0.03 0.03)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 61.11%
1-1 @ 8.69% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.3% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 19.69%
1-2 @ 5.13% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-1 @ 3.89% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.3% (-0.095 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 19.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: NAC Breda 4-1 MVV
Friday, March 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong PSV 1-2 NAC Breda
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 3-2 Dordrecht
Friday, February 24 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Utrecht 4-1 NAC Breda
Monday, February 20 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 2-0 De Graafschap
Friday, February 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-2 Heerenveen
Tuesday, February 7 at 8pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 5-1 Jong Ajax
Friday, March 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-2 Oss
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Willem II 2-1 Jong Ajax
Friday, February 24 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 4-2 MVV
Monday, February 20 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Den Bosch 4-2 Jong Ajax
Friday, February 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 0-0 PEC Zwolle
Monday, February 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie


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