SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.16%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Almere City |
35.49% ( 1.01) | 23.72% ( 0.16) | 40.8% ( -1.16) |
| Both teams to score 62.31% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.32% ( -0.56) | 39.68% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.97% ( -0.59) | 62.03% ( 0.59) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.65% ( 0.28) | 22.35% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.17% ( 0.41) | 55.83% ( -0.41) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.24% ( -0.75) | 19.76% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.2% ( -1.23) | 51.8% ( 1.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.49% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.16% Total : 40.8% |
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