SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | Roda JC |
30.55% ( -0.82) | 24.21% ( -0.1) | 45.24% ( 0.92) |
| Both teams to score 58.69% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.35% ( 0.1) | 43.65% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.96% ( 0.1) | 66.04% ( -0.1) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.87% ( -0.48) | 27.13% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.47% ( -0.63) | 62.52% ( 0.63) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.54% ( 0.44) | 19.46% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.69% ( 0.71) | 51.31% ( -0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.01% Total : 30.55% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 5.03% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.14% Total : 45.24% |
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