SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | NAC Breda |
41.01% ( 0.16) | 23.8% ( 0.03) | 35.19% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 61.93% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.85% ( -0.18) | 40.15% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.48% ( -0.19) | 62.52% ( 0.19) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.14% ( -0) | 19.86% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.03% ( -0.01) | 51.97% ( 0.01) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.28% ( -0.19) | 22.72% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.61% ( -0.28) | 56.39% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 41.01% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.19% |
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