SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 52.22%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | De Graafschap |
25.19% ( -0.31) | 22.58% ( -0.18) | 52.22% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 60.04% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.05% ( 0.52) | 39.94% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.69% ( 0.54) | 62.31% ( -0.55) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( 0.04) | 29.03% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.06% ( 0.05) | 64.93% ( -0.06) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.6% ( 0.35) | 15.4% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.79% ( 0.66) | 44.2% ( -0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.33% Total : 25.19% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.58% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 7.82% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.04% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.81% Total : 52.22% |
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