Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 52.22%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
-0.31) 
0.48) 
