SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.95%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Emmen |
34.72% ( 0.09) | 23.42% ( -0.05) | 41.86% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 63.25% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.62% ( 0.27) | 38.38% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.33% ( 0.29) | 60.66% ( -0.29) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( 0.17) | 22.15% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.46% ( 0.26) | 55.53% ( -0.26) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.25% ( 0.09) | 18.75% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.87% ( 0.16) | 50.13% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Emmen |
| 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.44% Total : 34.72% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 3.53% Total : 41.86% |
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