SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 50.9%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Jong AZ |
50.9% ( -0.02) | 23.15% ( -0.01) | 25.95% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.83% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.1% ( 0.06) | 41.9% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.69% ( 0.06) | 64.31% ( -0.06) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.43% ( 0.01) | 16.57% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.64% ( 0.02) | 46.36% ( -0.02) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( 0.06) | 29.49% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.5% ( 0.07) | 65.5% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 50.9% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 25.95% |
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