Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 81.92%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 6.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.23%) and 1-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.61%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (1.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.03) 
