Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
-1.84) 
0.69) 
