Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
