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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
Yanmar Stadion

Almere City
1 - 0
Jong Utrecht

van Bruggen (87')
Limbombe (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Almere City and Jong FC Utrecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 1-1 Almere City
Friday, March 31 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-0 Jong Utrecht
Friday, March 31 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 62.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawJong FC Utrecht
62.57% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26) 20.08% (0.168 0.17) 17.34% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 56.62% (-0.397 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.15% (-0.612 -0.61)38.85% (0.616 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.84% (-0.649 -0.65)61.16% (0.653 0.65)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.12% (-0.254 -0.25)11.88% (0.257 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.81% (-0.547 -0.55)37.19% (0.551 0.55)
Jong FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25% (-0.26299999999999 -0.26)35.74% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48% (-0.271 -0.27)72.51% (0.274 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 62.58%
    Jong FC Utrecht 17.34%
    Draw 20.08%
Almere CityDrawJong FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.64% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.171 0.17)
3-1 @ 7.04% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.75% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.64% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.6% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.55% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 62.58%
1-1 @ 9.31% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.123 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.08%
1-2 @ 4.79% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.37% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.25% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 17.34%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Heracles 1-1 Almere City
Friday, March 31 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 0-2 Almere City
Friday, March 17 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-3 VVV-Venlo
Monday, March 13 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Dordrecht 0-1 Almere City
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Roda JC 0-2 Almere City
Friday, February 24 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-0 Helmond
Friday, February 17 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-0 Jong Utrecht
Friday, March 31 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 1-0 Jong Utrecht
Friday, March 17 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Utrecht 0-1 Jong PSV
Monday, March 13 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Utrecht 1-3 Roda JC
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 2-0 Jong Utrecht
Friday, February 24 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Utrecht 4-1 NAC Breda
Monday, February 20 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie


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