SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
40.07% ( -0.43) | 23.91% ( -0.06) | 36.01% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 61.67% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.44% ( 0.38) | 40.56% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.06% ( 0.39) | 62.94% ( -0.39) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.54% ( -0.03) | 20.46% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.07% ( -0.05) | 52.93% ( 0.05) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( 0.43) | 22.47% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.98% ( 0.64) | 56.01% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 40.07% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.01% |
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