SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Helmond Sport would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
45.23% ( -0.01) | 25.19% ( 0) | 29.58% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.81% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.52% ( -0.01) | 48.47% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.39% ( -0.01) | 70.6% ( 0.01) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.56% ( -0.01) | 21.44% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.54% ( -0.02) | 54.46% ( 0.02) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.78% | 30.22% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.61% ( 0) | 66.38% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 45.23% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 29.58% |
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