Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 80.2%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 7.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for PEC Zwolle in this match.
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