Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 58.64%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.78%) and 0-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
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