Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.09) 
