Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 73.45%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 10.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.65%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.

Result
Roda JC	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
73.45%	16.22%	10.32%

Both teams to score 50.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.86%

37.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.66%

59.33%

Roda JC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.28%

8.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.02%

29.98%

Jong FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.12%

44.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.16%

80.83%

Score Analysis

Roda JC 73.45%

Jong FC Utrecht 10.32%

Draw 16.22%

Roda JC	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
2-0 @ 11.64% 1-0 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 9.47% 2-1 @ 9.33% 3-1 @ 7.59% 4-0 @ 5.78% 4-1 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 3.04% 5-0 @ 2.82% 5-1 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 1.86% 6-0 @ 1.15% 6-1 @ 0.92% 5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.51% Total : 73.45%	1-1 @ 7.65% 0-0 @ 3.91% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.92% Total : 16.22%	0-1 @ 3.13% 1-2 @ 3.06% 0-2 @ 1.26% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.87% Total : 10.32%