Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 73.45%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 10.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.65%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
